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Narrow Markets are Dangerous

Submitted by Wespac Advisors, LLC on December 22nd, 2015
  • Of the 9 major sectors that comprise the S&P 500, only 4 outperformed the S&P 500 in 2015 — Consumer Discretionary, Healthcare, Consumer Staples, and Technology.   These sectors contribute about 59% of S&P 500′s operating earnings.
  • Of the other 5 sectors, 4 significantly underperformed the S&P 500, which is down about -1% YTD — Energy (-23%), Transports (-17%), Materials (-10%), and Industrials (-6%).
  • Only 43% of the S&P 500 stocks are trading above their 200-day MA or their 50-day MA.
  • There have been some individual stocks that have been crushed in 2015:
  • Chesapeake Energy, Southwest Energy, and Consul Energy all down over -77%
  • Freeport-McMoRan and Fossil Group, both down over -70%
  • NRG Energy, Micron, Wynn Resorts, all down over -58%
  • Seagate, Staples, Viacom, Macy’s, Kors, and Tenet Healthcare, all down over -44%
  • Consider the following average performance of S&P 500 stocks (Source:  Bespoke Investment Group)
  • The average stock in the S&P 500 is down nearly 3% this year.
  • The best 10% of stocks in the index are up an average of nearly 50%.
  • The worst 10% of stocks in the index are down nearly 50%.

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